Model Step 2 - Model Card

Published

July 17, 2025

Background

A model card provides brief, transparent, responsible reporting for a trained machine learning model. Expand the code chunk below to inspect the code that loads the model, training data, and evaluation data.

Code
library(tidyverse)
## ── Attaching core tidyverse packages ──────────────────────── tidyverse 2.0.0 ──
## ✔ dplyr     1.1.4     ✔ readr     2.1.5
## ✔ forcats   1.0.0     ✔ stringr   1.5.1
## ✔ ggplot2   3.5.1     ✔ tibble    3.2.1
## ✔ lubridate 1.9.3     ✔ tidyr     1.3.1
## ✔ purrr     1.0.2     
## ── Conflicts ────────────────────────────────────────── tidyverse_conflicts() ──
## ✖ dplyr::filter() masks stats::filter()
## ✖ dplyr::lag()    masks stats::lag()
## ℹ Use the conflicted package (<http://conflicted.r-lib.org/>) to force all conflicts to become errors
library(vetiver)
library(pins)
library(yardstick)
## 
## Attaching package: 'yardstick'
## 
## The following object is masked from 'package:readr':
## 
##     spec
library(glue)
library(kableExtra)
## 
## Attaching package: 'kableExtra'
## 
## The following object is masked from 'package:dplyr':
## 
##     group_rows


board <- pins::board_connect()
## Connecting to Posit Connect 2025.05.0 at <https://pub.current.posit.team>
v <- vetiver_pin_read(board, params$name, version = params$version)
v_meta <- pin_meta(board, params$name)

con <- DBI::dbConnect(
  odbc::odbc(),
  Driver      = "postgresql",
  Server      = Sys.getenv("DB_SERVER"),
  Port        = "5432",
  Database    = "soleng",
  UID         = Sys.getenv("DB_USER"),
  PWD         = Sys.getenv("DB_PASSWORD"),
  BoolsAsChar = "",
  timeout     = 10
)
bike_model_data <- tbl(con, DBI::Id(schema="content", name="bike_model_data"))


train_start_date <- lubridate::as_date(v$metadata$user$train_dates[1])
train_end_date <- lubridate::as_date(v$metadata$user$train_dates[2])
test_start_date <- lubridate::as_date(v$metadata$user$test_dates[1])
test_end_date <- lubridate::as_date(v$metadata$user$test_dates[2])

data <- bike_model_data %>%
  filter(date >= train_start_date) %>%
  collect() %>%
  mutate(
    data_type = case_when(
      date <= train_end_date ~ "train",
      date <= test_end_date ~ "test",
      TRUE ~ "latest"
    )
  )

train_data <- data %>%
  filter(data_type == "train")

test_data <- data %>%
  filter(data_type == "test")

Model details

  • Developed by Sam Edwardes (Posit - Solutions Engineer)
  • A ranger regression modeling workflow using features
  • This model was developed to predict how many capital bikeshare bikes will be available for a given station based on the time of day, and day of the week.
  • The data used to train the model was obtained from the capital bikeshare API.
  • Version 6230 of this model was published at 2025-07-17 15:59:27
  • If you have questions about this model, please create an issue on our GitHub repo: https://github.com/sol-eng/bike_predict/issues.

Intended use

  • The primary intended use of this model is to demonstrate an end-to-end data science workflow using Posit Connect.

Metrics

  • The metrics used to evaluate this model are:
    • Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE),
    • R Squared (RSQ), and
    • Mean Absolute Error (MAE).
  • We chose these metrics because because they are the most common metrics for assessing the performance of regression models, and that they are well understood by the data science community.

Training data & evaluation data

The training data set for this model was was obtained from the capital bikeshare API. The Model is retrained on a daily basis using refreshed data.

  • Training date range: 2023-12-10 to 2024-01-05.
  • Evaluation date range: 2024-01-06 to 2025-03-24.

The data set for this model has the “prototype” or signature:

Code
glimpse(v$prototype)
Rows: 1
Columns: 7
$ id    <chr> "0099b016-32c9-4536-ac4c-dcc1a117bd95"
$ hour  <dbl> 0
$ date  <date> 2023-12-10
$ month <dbl> 12
$ dow   <chr> "Sunday"
$ lat   <dbl> 38.87035
$ lon   <dbl> -76.94528

Below is a summary of the training data:

Code
train_data %>%
  select(-n_bikes) %>%
  skimr::skim()
Data summary
Name Piped data
Number of rows 190569
Number of columns 8
_______________________
Column type frequency:
character 3
Date 1
numeric 4
________________________
Group variables None

Variable type: character

skim_variable n_missing complete_rate min max empty n_unique whitespace
id 0 1 19 36 0 744 0
dow 0 1 6 9 0 7 0
data_type 0 1 5 5 0 1 0

Variable type: Date

skim_variable n_missing complete_rate min max median n_unique
date 0 1 2023-12-10 2024-01-05 2023-12-21 27

Variable type: numeric

skim_variable n_missing complete_rate mean sd p0 p25 p50 p75 p100 hist
hour 0 1 11.13 6.68 0.00 6.00 10.00 16.00 22.00 ▇▅▇▆▇
month 0 1 11.40 2.50 1.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 ▁▁▁▁▇
lat 0 1 38.91 0.06 38.78 38.88 38.90 38.93 39.13 ▂▇▃▁▁
lon 0 1 -77.07 0.09 -77.37 -77.09 -77.04 -77.01 -76.83 ▁▁▆▇▁

Below is a summary of the evaluation data:

Code
test_data %>%
  select(-n_bikes) %>%
  skimr::skim()
Data summary
Name Piped data
Number of rows 2076875
Number of columns 8
_______________________
Column type frequency:
character 3
Date 1
numeric 4
________________________
Group variables None

Variable type: character

skim_variable n_missing complete_rate min max empty n_unique whitespace
id 0 1 19 36 0 791 0
dow 0 1 6 9 0 7 0
data_type 0 1 4 4 0 1 0

Variable type: Date

skim_variable n_missing complete_rate min max median n_unique
date 0 1 2024-01-06 2025-03-24 2024-05-18 378

Variable type: numeric

skim_variable n_missing complete_rate mean sd p0 p25 p50 p75 p100 hist
hour 0 1 10.61 7.10 0.00 4.00 10.00 16.00 23.00 ▇▅▅▇▅
month 0 1 4.87 2.74 1.00 2.00 5.00 7.00 12.00 ▇▅▅▃▁
lat 0 1 38.91 0.06 38.77 38.88 38.90 38.93 39.13 ▂▇▅▁▁
lon 0 1 -77.07 0.10 -77.37 -77.09 -77.04 -77.01 -76.83 ▁▂▆▇▁

Quantitative analyses

Overall model performance against the model evaluation data.

Code
# Explicitly define packages used for model metrics by vetiver so that Connect 
# is able to redeploy.
library(slider)

latest_metrics %>%
  kable() %>%
  kable_material()
.index .n .metric .estimator .estimate
2024-01-06 3720 rmse standard 4.0196821
2024-01-06 3720 rsq standard 0.4493905
2024-01-06 3720 mae standard 3.1460936
2024-01-07 4464 rmse standard 4.3614660
2024-01-07 4464 rsq standard 0.2905266
2024-01-07 4464 mae standard 3.3580533
2024-01-08 5952 rmse standard 4.2165485
2024-01-08 5952 rsq standard 0.3887366
2024-01-08 5952 mae standard 3.2654206
2024-01-09 9674 rmse standard 3.9997439
2024-01-09 9674 rsq standard 0.3984628
2024-01-09 9674 mae standard 3.0844105
2024-01-10 8942 rmse standard 4.1871821
2024-01-10 8942 rsq standard 0.4216626
2024-01-10 8942 mae standard 3.2487780
2024-01-11 8955 rmse standard 4.1715385
2024-01-11 8955 rsq standard 0.4426114
2024-01-11 8955 mae standard 3.2913485
2024-01-12 8964 rmse standard 4.1423283
2024-01-12 8964 rsq standard 0.4296722
2024-01-12 8964 mae standard 3.2204733
2024-01-13 9711 rmse standard 4.2924845
2024-01-13 9711 rsq standard 0.4493705
2024-01-13 9711 mae standard 3.3544608
2024-01-14 9711 rmse standard 4.3111100
2024-01-14 9711 rsq standard 0.4506582
2024-01-14 9711 mae standard 3.3866655
2024-01-15 9711 rmse standard 4.4207140
2024-01-15 9711 rsq standard 0.4030823
2024-01-15 9711 mae standard 3.4576958
2024-01-16 9711 rmse standard 4.3632438
2024-01-16 9711 rsq standard 0.3954337
2024-01-16 9711 mae standard 3.3839278
2024-01-17 8964 rmse standard 4.4030269
2024-01-17 8964 rsq standard 0.4234934
2024-01-17 8964 mae standard 3.4003010
2024-01-18 8964 rmse standard 4.3317405
2024-01-18 8964 rsq standard 0.4206741
2024-01-18 8964 mae standard 3.3814525
2024-01-19 9711 rmse standard 4.3369945
2024-01-19 9711 rsq standard 0.3558349
2024-01-19 9711 mae standard 3.3650484
2024-01-20 9711 rmse standard 4.2953617
2024-01-20 9711 rsq standard 0.3488846
2024-01-20 9711 mae standard 3.3469642
2024-01-21 8964 rmse standard 4.3982948
2024-01-21 8964 rsq standard 0.2631726
2024-01-21 8964 mae standard 3.4498861
2024-01-22 9711 rmse standard 4.2833299
2024-01-22 9711 rsq standard 0.2896020
2024-01-22 9711 mae standard 3.3955142
2024-01-23 9711 rmse standard 4.3046435
2024-01-23 9711 rsq standard 0.3363229
2024-01-23 9711 mae standard 3.3753620
2024-01-24 8964 rmse standard 4.3295938
2024-01-24 8964 rsq standard 0.3830798
2024-01-24 8964 mae standard 3.4251743
2024-01-25 9711 rmse standard 4.2841147
2024-01-25 9711 rsq standard 0.3636928
2024-01-25 9711 mae standard 3.4004420
2024-01-26 8964 rmse standard 4.2549049
2024-01-26 8964 rsq standard 0.3616881
2024-01-26 8964 mae standard 3.3423640
2024-01-27 8964 rmse standard 4.4346214
2024-01-27 8964 rsq standard 0.3689478
2024-01-27 8964 mae standard 3.4521316
2024-01-28 9711 rmse standard 4.4128354
2024-01-28 9711 rsq standard 0.4235389
2024-01-28 9711 mae standard 3.4856322
2024-01-29 8217 rmse standard 4.5603151
2024-01-29 8217 rsq standard 0.4665314
2024-01-29 8217 mae standard 3.6408830
2024-01-30 8964 rmse standard 4.4464942
2024-01-30 8964 rsq standard 0.5124244
2024-01-30 8964 mae standard 3.5213153
2024-01-31 8964 rmse standard 4.4997941
2024-01-31 8964 rsq standard 0.5174130
2024-01-31 8964 mae standard 3.5367624
2024-02-01 9710 rmse standard 4.4715816
2024-02-01 9710 rsq standard 0.5257499
2024-02-01 9710 mae standard 3.5101077
2024-02-02 8952 rmse standard 4.3003873
2024-02-02 8952 rsq standard 0.4942464
2024-02-02 8952 mae standard 3.4065442
2024-02-03 8952 rmse standard 4.5769941
2024-02-03 8952 rsq standard 0.5131150
2024-02-03 8952 mae standard 3.5882340
2024-02-04 9698 rmse standard 4.5548774
2024-02-04 9698 rsq standard 0.5310935
2024-02-04 9698 mae standard 3.5709829
2024-02-05 1492 rmse standard 4.6373246
2024-02-05 1492 rsq standard 0.4440868
2024-02-05 1492 mae standard 3.6254257
2024-02-06 2984 rmse standard 4.3840290
2024-02-06 2984 rsq standard 0.5812506
2024-02-06 2984 mae standard 3.5140409
2024-02-07 8952 rmse standard 4.4344197
2024-02-07 8952 rsq standard 0.4967949
2024-02-07 8952 mae standard 3.5128561
2024-02-08 9698 rmse standard 4.5581566
2024-02-08 9698 rsq standard 0.4416893
2024-02-08 9698 mae standard 3.5900660
2024-02-09 8952 rmse standard 4.1564379
2024-02-09 8952 rsq standard 0.4602980
2024-02-09 8952 mae standard 3.2985875
2024-02-10 9698 rmse standard 4.3616812
2024-02-10 9698 rsq standard 0.4330758
2024-02-10 9698 mae standard 3.4612897
2024-02-11 8206 rmse standard 4.3691293
2024-02-11 8206 rsq standard 0.4415793
2024-02-11 8206 mae standard 3.5445946
2024-02-12 9698 rmse standard 4.5170219
2024-02-12 9698 rsq standard 0.4490282
2024-02-12 9698 mae standard 3.6512665
2024-02-13 8952 rmse standard 4.4784893
2024-02-13 8952 rsq standard 0.4189373
2024-02-13 8952 mae standard 3.4970448
2024-02-14 9698 rmse standard 4.6071798
2024-02-14 9698 rsq standard 0.3680588
2024-02-14 9698 mae standard 3.6595368
2024-02-15 9698 rmse standard 4.6098420
2024-02-15 9698 rsq standard 0.3440641
2024-02-15 9698 mae standard 3.6368926
2024-02-16 9702 rmse standard 4.5498174
2024-02-16 9702 rsq standard 0.3290103
2024-02-16 9702 mae standard 3.5697333
2024-02-17 9711 rmse standard 4.6558016
2024-02-17 9711 rsq standard 0.3265746
2024-02-17 9711 mae standard 3.7125214
2024-02-18 8964 rmse standard 4.5483422
2024-02-18 8964 rsq standard 0.3444463
2024-02-18 8964 mae standard 3.6411288
2024-02-19 9711 rmse standard 4.4990787
2024-02-19 9711 rsq standard 0.3478919
2024-02-19 9711 mae standard 3.5494985
2024-02-20 9711 rmse standard 4.5389046
2024-02-20 9711 rsq standard 0.3773591
2024-02-20 9711 mae standard 3.5851449
2024-02-21 9711 rmse standard 4.5204356
2024-02-21 9711 rsq standard 0.3808799
2024-02-21 9711 mae standard 3.6036917
2024-02-22 8217 rmse standard 4.6472414
2024-02-22 8217 rsq standard 0.3722951
2024-02-22 8217 mae standard 3.6875015
2024-02-23 8229 rmse standard 4.6380597
2024-02-23 8229 rsq standard 0.3278839
2024-02-23 8229 mae standard 3.6565693
2024-02-24 9750 rmse standard 4.6857016
2024-02-24 9750 rsq standard 0.2868020
2024-02-24 9750 mae standard 3.7301645
2024-02-25 9750 rmse standard 4.5216320
2024-02-25 9750 rsq standard 0.3285561
2024-02-25 9750 mae standard 3.6037010
2024-02-26 9000 rmse standard 4.6492621
2024-02-26 9000 rsq standard 0.3697603
2024-02-26 9000 mae standard 3.6865342
2024-02-27 8250 rmse standard 4.7219711
2024-02-27 8250 rsq standard 0.4007190
2024-02-27 8250 mae standard 3.7734431
2024-02-28 9750 rmse standard 4.4460845
2024-02-28 9750 rsq standard 0.4249720
2024-02-28 9750 mae standard 3.5494755
2024-02-29 7500 rmse standard 4.7543058
2024-02-29 7500 rsq standard 0.3557774
2024-02-29 7500 mae standard 3.7326885
2024-03-01 750 rmse standard 4.5018833
2024-03-01 750 rsq standard 0.4416548
2024-03-01 750 mae standard 3.6095470
2024-03-02 2250 rmse standard 4.5289588
2024-03-02 2250 rsq standard 0.3613591
2024-03-02 2250 mae standard 3.6104292
2024-03-04 750 rmse standard 4.6592529
2024-03-04 750 rsq standard 0.3805926
2024-03-04 750 mae standard 3.7811408
2024-03-05 8250 rmse standard 4.7100902
2024-03-05 8250 rsq standard 0.3298452
2024-03-05 8250 mae standard 3.7209096
2024-03-06 9750 rmse standard 4.9248223
2024-03-06 9750 rsq standard 0.3103574
2024-03-06 9750 mae standard 3.9504720
2024-03-07 9750 rmse standard 4.7772376
2024-03-07 9750 rsq standard 0.3297280
2024-03-07 9750 mae standard 3.8230004
2024-03-08 9750 rmse standard 4.7004813
2024-03-08 9750 rsq standard 0.2942809
2024-03-08 9750 mae standard 3.7500201
2024-03-09 9750 rmse standard 4.8327553
2024-03-09 9750 rsq standard 0.2902014
2024-03-09 9750 mae standard 3.9026313
2024-03-10 9750 rmse standard 4.8290718
2024-03-10 9750 rsq standard 0.2901631
2024-03-10 9750 mae standard 3.8918575
2024-03-11 9000 rmse standard 4.6840776
2024-03-11 9000 rsq standard 0.2972315
2024-03-11 9000 mae standard 3.7573211
2024-03-12 9003 rmse standard 4.8579613
2024-03-12 9003 rsq standard 0.2469295
2024-03-12 9003 mae standard 3.9093240
2024-03-13 8261 rmse standard 4.8151097
2024-03-13 8261 rsq standard 0.2661136
2024-03-13 8261 mae standard 3.8506434
2024-03-14 9012 rmse standard 4.9208672
2024-03-14 9012 rsq standard 0.2691898
2024-03-14 9012 mae standard 3.9078200
2024-03-15 9763 rmse standard 4.9977656
2024-03-15 9763 rsq standard 0.2536799
2024-03-15 9763 mae standard 3.9750793
2024-03-16 9012 rmse standard 4.8339976
2024-03-16 9012 rsq standard 0.3061108
2024-03-16 9012 mae standard 3.9113119
2024-03-17 9012 rmse standard 4.8066085
2024-03-17 9012 rsq standard 0.3222636
2024-03-17 9012 mae standard 3.8639819
2024-03-18 9012 rmse standard 4.8319729
2024-03-18 9012 rsq standard 0.3567667
2024-03-18 9012 mae standard 3.8515915
2024-03-19 9012 rmse standard 4.7754019
2024-03-19 9012 rsq standard 0.4149438
2024-03-19 9012 mae standard 3.8393898
2024-03-20 9016 rmse standard 4.7768812
2024-03-20 9016 rsq standard 0.3728029
2024-03-20 9016 mae standard 3.8441594
2024-03-21 9028 rmse standard 4.7148035
2024-03-21 9028 rsq standard 0.3586406
2024-03-21 9028 mae standard 3.7499625
2024-03-22 9036 rmse standard 4.7940389
2024-03-22 9036 rsq standard 0.3395999
2024-03-22 9036 mae standard 3.8027524
2024-03-23 9036 rmse standard 4.6714604
2024-03-23 9036 rsq standard 0.3082696
2024-03-23 9036 mae standard 3.6944915
2024-03-24 9036 rmse standard 4.7977967
2024-03-24 9036 rsq standard 0.2158077
2024-03-24 9036 mae standard 3.8444362
2024-03-25 9036 rmse standard 4.7701345
2024-03-25 9036 rsq standard 0.2159506
2024-03-25 9036 mae standard 3.8150778
2024-03-26 8286 rmse standard 4.8475452
2024-03-26 8286 rsq standard 0.2433036
2024-03-26 8286 mae standard 3.8605272
2024-03-27 9054 rmse standard 4.7835340
2024-03-27 9054 rsq standard 0.2395974
2024-03-27 9054 mae standard 3.7970745
2024-03-28 9075 rmse standard 4.8519978
2024-03-28 9075 rsq standard 0.1871459
2024-03-28 9075 mae standard 3.8059582
2024-03-29 9084 rmse standard 5.2511661
2024-03-29 9084 rsq standard 0.1042129
2024-03-29 9084 mae standard 4.0922127
2024-03-30 9084 rmse standard 4.9137090
2024-03-30 9084 rsq standard 0.1426885
2024-03-30 9084 mae standard 3.8656892
2024-03-31 9084 rmse standard 4.9315289
2024-03-31 9084 rsq standard 0.1363988
2024-03-31 9084 mae standard 3.8575110
2024-04-01 9841 rmse standard 4.7630265
2024-04-01 9841 rsq standard 0.1404894
2024-04-01 9841 mae standard 3.7695334
2024-04-02 9082 rmse standard 5.1125065
2024-04-02 9082 rsq standard 0.0971620
2024-04-02 9082 mae standard 4.0415899
2024-04-03 9089 rmse standard 5.3978046
2024-04-03 9089 rsq standard 0.0350962
2024-04-03 9089 mae standard 4.2655505
2024-04-04 9099 rmse standard 5.4258205
2024-04-04 9099 rsq standard 0.0353593
2024-04-04 9099 mae standard 4.2120198
2024-04-05 9108 rmse standard 5.3716932
2024-04-05 9108 rsq standard 0.0591916
2024-04-05 9108 mae standard 4.1486089
2024-04-06 9867 rmse standard 5.0759915
2024-04-06 9867 rsq standard 0.0723322
2024-04-06 9867 mae standard 3.9545814
2024-04-07 9867 rmse standard 4.8526044
2024-04-07 9867 rsq standard 0.1260604
2024-04-07 9867 mae standard 3.8505584
2024-04-08 9108 rmse standard 4.6166534
2024-04-08 9108 rsq standard 0.2155142
2024-04-08 9108 mae standard 3.6652857
2024-04-09 9113 rmse standard 4.6254533
2024-04-09 9113 rsq standard 0.2294372
2024-04-09 9113 mae standard 3.6583009
2024-04-10 9124 rmse standard 4.8658312
2024-04-10 9124 rsq standard 0.1840336
2024-04-10 9124 mae standard 3.8318608
2024-04-15 762 rmse standard 5.0025620
2024-04-15 762 rsq standard 0.0551619
2024-04-15 762 mae standard 3.8233985
2024-04-16 763 rmse standard 4.5136562
2024-04-16 763 rsq standard 0.2750081
2024-04-16 763 mae standard 3.5701828
2024-04-17 1528 rmse standard 4.6332199
2024-04-17 1528 rsq standard 0.3802447
2024-04-17 1528 mae standard 3.7179693
2024-04-24 1532 rmse standard 4.7829207
2024-04-24 1532 rsq standard 0.3275757
2024-04-24 1532 mae standard 3.7800774
2024-04-25 3064 rmse standard 4.5153427
2024-04-25 3064 rsq standard 0.3453859
2024-04-25 3064 mae standard 3.5801606
2024-04-26 9192 rmse standard 4.8004710
2024-04-26 9192 rsq standard 0.2016593
2024-04-26 9192 mae standard 3.7461952
2024-04-27 9958 rmse standard 4.7018608
2024-04-27 9958 rsq standard 0.1812577
2024-04-27 9958 mae standard 3.7223425
2024-04-28 9192 rmse standard 4.8327202
2024-04-28 9192 rsq standard 0.1189251
2024-04-28 9192 mae standard 3.8021533
2024-04-29 9192 rmse standard 4.6670174
2024-04-29 9192 rsq standard 0.1932497
2024-04-29 9192 mae standard 3.7185667
2024-04-30 9961 rmse standard 4.9122904
2024-04-30 9961 rsq standard 0.1827400
2024-04-30 9961 mae standard 3.8697963
2024-05-01 9204 rmse standard 4.9030022
2024-05-01 9204 rsq standard 0.1953599
2024-05-01 9204 mae standard 3.8498344
2024-05-02 9204 rmse standard 4.8622898
2024-05-02 9204 rsq standard 0.1966837
2024-05-02 9204 mae standard 3.8645594
2024-05-03 9204 rmse standard 4.8375780
2024-05-03 9204 rsq standard 0.2209081
2024-05-03 9204 mae standard 3.8110606
2024-05-04 9204 rmse standard 4.7233572
2024-05-04 9204 rsq standard 0.1627268
2024-05-04 9204 mae standard 3.7458208
2024-05-05 9204 rmse standard 5.0687913
2024-05-05 9204 rsq standard 0.0709410
2024-05-05 9204 mae standard 3.9533900
2024-05-06 9204 rmse standard 4.9940566
2024-05-06 9204 rsq standard 0.0647542
2024-05-06 9204 mae standard 3.8455352
2024-05-07 9204 rmse standard 5.0465544
2024-05-07 9204 rsq standard 0.1061818
2024-05-07 9204 mae standard 3.8746107
2024-05-08 9971 rmse standard 4.9922085
2024-05-08 9971 rsq standard 0.1550095
2024-05-08 9971 mae standard 3.8936121
2024-05-09 9204 rmse standard 5.0104082
2024-05-09 9204 rsq standard 0.1487761
2024-05-09 9204 mae standard 3.9322332
2024-05-10 9204 rmse standard 5.0647070
2024-05-10 9204 rsq standard 0.1454420
2024-05-10 9204 mae standard 3.9312910
2024-05-11 8437 rmse standard 4.9085082
2024-05-11 8437 rsq standard 0.1506926
2024-05-11 8437 mae standard 3.8798785
2024-05-12 8437 rmse standard 4.8560361
2024-05-12 8437 rsq standard 0.1478840
2024-05-12 8437 mae standard 3.8677046
2024-05-13 9204 rmse standard 4.7572178
2024-05-13 9204 rsq standard 0.1990197
2024-05-13 9204 mae standard 3.8340613
2024-05-14 9204 rmse standard 4.8184646
2024-05-14 9204 rsq standard 0.2161101
2024-05-14 9204 mae standard 3.8583524
2024-05-15 9204 rmse standard 4.5682081
2024-05-15 9204 rsq standard 0.2437978
2024-05-15 9204 mae standard 3.6139433
2024-05-16 9204 rmse standard 4.9121364
2024-05-16 9204 rsq standard 0.1803816
2024-05-16 9204 mae standard 3.8956681
2024-05-17 9204 rmse standard 4.9111399
2024-05-17 9204 rsq standard 0.1912594
2024-05-17 9204 mae standard 3.8870869
2024-05-18 8437 rmse standard 4.8088894
2024-05-18 8437 rsq standard 0.1453793
2024-05-18 8437 mae standard 3.8130058
2024-05-19 9204 rmse standard 4.9343934
2024-05-19 9204 rsq standard 0.1025252
2024-05-19 9204 mae standard 3.9346381
2024-05-20 9204 rmse standard 4.8000247
2024-05-20 9204 rsq standard 0.1737333
2024-05-20 9204 mae standard 3.7764295
2024-05-21 9204 rmse standard 4.8838878
2024-05-21 9204 rsq standard 0.2296542
2024-05-21 9204 mae standard 3.8506531
2024-05-22 9204 rmse standard 4.8510549
2024-05-22 9204 rsq standard 0.2547381
2024-05-22 9204 mae standard 3.8823623
2024-05-23 9204 rmse standard 4.7592369
2024-05-23 9204 rsq standard 0.2710701
2024-05-23 9204 mae standard 3.7958968
2024-05-24 9204 rmse standard 4.7676057
2024-05-24 9204 rsq standard 0.2749466
2024-05-24 9204 mae standard 3.8171788
2024-05-25 9971 rmse standard 4.7947338
2024-05-25 9971 rsq standard 0.2662938
2024-05-25 9971 mae standard 3.8250286
2024-05-26 9204 rmse standard 4.7622913
2024-05-26 9204 rsq standard 0.2689780
2024-05-26 9204 mae standard 3.8516995
2024-05-27 9204 rmse standard 4.8068146
2024-05-27 9204 rsq standard 0.2164604
2024-05-27 9204 mae standard 3.8232925
2024-05-28 9204 rmse standard 4.7215432
2024-05-28 9204 rsq standard 0.2964611
2024-05-28 9204 mae standard 3.7335228
2024-05-29 9208 rmse standard 4.8055758
2024-05-29 9208 rsq standard 0.3268508
2024-05-29 9208 mae standard 3.8469452
2024-05-30 9216 rmse standard 4.8412506
2024-05-30 9216 rsq standard 0.2971989
2024-05-30 9216 mae standard 3.8573315
2024-05-31 9216 rmse standard 4.8295658
2024-05-31 9216 rsq standard 0.2619743
2024-05-31 9216 mae standard 3.8003864
2024-06-01 7680 rmse standard 4.6505961
2024-06-01 7680 rsq standard 0.2549717
2024-06-01 7680 mae standard 3.7482076
2024-06-02 768 rmse standard 4.7470788
2024-06-02 768 rsq standard 0.2135053
2024-06-02 768 mae standard 3.7560273
2024-06-03 3840 rmse standard 4.8501939
2024-06-03 3840 rsq standard 0.3163420
2024-06-03 3840 mae standard 3.8589831
2024-06-04 9216 rmse standard 4.8987651
2024-06-04 9216 rsq standard 0.2523531
2024-06-04 9216 mae standard 3.8653401
2024-06-05 9216 rmse standard 4.8919256
2024-06-05 9216 rsq standard 0.2899055
2024-06-05 9216 mae standard 3.8802644
2024-06-06 9216 rmse standard 4.7975825
2024-06-06 9216 rsq standard 0.3059503
2024-06-06 9216 mae standard 3.8223875
2024-06-07 9216 rmse standard 4.7550408
2024-06-07 9216 rsq standard 0.2746178
2024-06-07 9216 mae standard 3.7363917
2024-06-08 9216 rmse standard 4.9880969
2024-06-08 9216 rsq standard 0.2666664
2024-06-08 9216 mae standard 3.9684966
2024-06-09 9216 rmse standard 5.0605560
2024-06-09 9216 rsq standard 0.1874560
2024-06-09 9216 mae standard 4.0080170
2024-06-10 9216 rmse standard 4.9643580
2024-06-10 9216 rsq standard 0.2694800
2024-06-10 9216 mae standard 3.8924736
2024-06-11 3073 rmse standard 4.7658845
2024-06-11 3073 rsq standard 0.2557426
2024-06-11 3073 mae standard 3.7751559
2024-06-12 9232 rmse standard 4.8639271
2024-06-12 9232 rsq standard 0.3167115
2024-06-12 9232 mae standard 3.9136452
2024-06-13 7703 rmse standard 4.8956438
2024-06-13 7703 rsq standard 0.2696808
2024-06-13 7703 mae standard 3.9351447
2024-06-14 9252 rmse standard 4.7792915
2024-06-14 9252 rsq standard 0.2785889
2024-06-14 9252 mae standard 3.8587861
2024-06-15 8481 rmse standard 4.7718368
2024-06-15 8481 rsq standard 0.2599463
2024-06-15 8481 mae standard 3.9171952
2024-06-16 9252 rmse standard 4.6941441
2024-06-16 9252 rsq standard 0.2930875
2024-06-16 9252 mae standard 3.8846881
2024-06-17 10023 rmse standard 4.8841032
2024-06-17 10023 rsq standard 0.2858573
2024-06-17 10023 mae standard 3.9899552
2024-06-18 9256 rmse standard 4.7602886
2024-06-18 9256 rsq standard 0.3272897
2024-06-18 9256 mae standard 3.8706998
2024-06-19 8492 rmse standard 4.9385971
2024-06-19 8492 rsq standard 0.2274303
2024-06-19 8492 mae standard 3.9761506
2024-06-20 9264 rmse standard 4.6571045
2024-06-20 9264 rsq standard 0.3405010
2024-06-20 9264 mae standard 3.7891792
2024-06-21 9264 rmse standard 4.7654966
2024-06-21 9264 rsq standard 0.2927775
2024-06-21 9264 mae standard 3.8435514
2024-06-22 9264 rmse standard 4.6706276
2024-06-22 9264 rsq standard 0.2736467
2024-06-22 9264 mae standard 3.8034953
2024-06-23 9264 rmse standard 4.7892511
2024-06-23 9264 rsq standard 0.2882777
2024-06-23 9264 mae standard 3.8543313
2024-06-24 9264 rmse standard 4.8843976
2024-06-24 9264 rsq standard 0.2706580
2024-06-24 9264 mae standard 3.8890066
2024-06-25 9260 rmse standard 5.0360907
2024-06-25 9260 rsq standard 0.2490131
2024-06-25 9260 mae standard 4.0227203
2024-06-26 9253 rmse standard 4.8472054
2024-06-26 9253 rsq standard 0.2877654
2024-06-26 9253 mae standard 3.8835335
2024-06-27 9264 rmse standard 4.8261520
2024-06-27 9264 rsq standard 0.3041196
2024-06-27 9264 mae standard 3.8749972
2024-06-28 9264 rmse standard 4.8012766
2024-06-28 9264 rsq standard 0.2992879
2024-06-28 9264 mae standard 3.8146016
2024-06-29 9264 rmse standard 4.6616285
2024-06-29 9264 rsq standard 0.2545535
2024-06-29 9264 mae standard 3.7240530
2024-06-30 9264 rmse standard 4.6863849
2024-06-30 9264 rsq standard 0.2420145
2024-06-30 9264 mae standard 3.7449978
2024-07-01 9264 rmse standard 4.7305122
2024-07-01 9264 rsq standard 0.2567506
2024-07-01 9264 mae standard 3.7492616
2024-07-02 9264 rmse standard 4.9052746
2024-07-02 9264 rsq standard 0.2521703
2024-07-02 9264 mae standard 3.8392130
2024-07-03 8492 rmse standard 4.7602082
2024-07-03 8492 rsq standard 0.2665834
2024-07-03 8492 mae standard 3.7541576
2024-07-04 9264 rmse standard 5.0282178
2024-07-04 9264 rsq standard 0.2062209
2024-07-04 9264 mae standard 3.9272509
2024-07-05 9264 rmse standard 5.2410411
2024-07-05 9264 rsq standard 0.1716316
2024-07-05 9264 mae standard 4.0489272
2024-07-06 9264 rmse standard 4.8001182
2024-07-06 9264 rsq standard 0.2141085
2024-07-06 9264 mae standard 3.8210776
2024-07-07 9264 rmse standard 4.8224124
2024-07-07 9264 rsq standard 0.2368777
2024-07-07 9264 mae standard 3.8420206
2024-07-08 8467 rmse standard 4.8609278
2024-07-08 8467 rsq standard 0.2292322
2024-07-08 8467 mae standard 3.8420226
2024-07-09 9204 rmse standard 4.8641757
2024-07-09 9204 rsq standard 0.2481353
2024-07-09 9204 mae standard 3.8466046
2024-07-10 8437 rmse standard 4.7981254
2024-07-10 8437 rsq standard 0.2735383
2024-07-10 8437 mae standard 3.8400954
2024-07-11 9204 rmse standard 4.9046895
2024-07-11 9204 rsq standard 0.2686958
2024-07-11 9204 mae standard 3.9437219
2024-07-12 9204 rmse standard 4.8248159
2024-07-12 9204 rsq standard 0.2552813
2024-07-12 9204 mae standard 3.8335726
2024-07-13 5369 rmse standard 4.8223532
2024-07-13 5369 rsq standard 0.2045862
2024-07-13 5369 mae standard 3.8344431
2024-07-16 1544 rmse standard 4.9289928
2024-07-16 1544 rsq standard 0.2391112
2024-07-16 1544 mae standard 3.9154179
2024-07-17 6948 rmse standard 5.1320660
2024-07-17 6948 rsq standard 0.1988839
2024-07-17 6948 mae standard 4.1052442
2024-07-18 2316 rmse standard 4.9303356
2024-07-18 2316 rsq standard 0.2474040
2024-07-18 2316 mae standard 3.9332230
2024-07-19 1544 rmse standard 5.3017808
2024-07-19 1544 rsq standard 0.1630658
2024-07-19 1544 mae standard 4.1515566
2024-07-20 3084 rmse standard 4.8756390
2024-07-20 3084 rsq standard 0.1998132
2024-07-20 3084 mae standard 3.8931170
2024-07-21 1542 rmse standard 4.9282366
2024-07-21 1542 rsq standard 0.1936115
2024-07-21 1542 mae standard 3.9605446
2024-07-22 1542 rmse standard 4.9189986
2024-07-22 1542 rsq standard 0.2573484
2024-07-22 1542 mae standard 3.9715947
2024-07-24 3086 rmse standard 5.0359935
2024-07-24 3086 rsq standard 0.2914565
2024-07-24 3086 mae standard 4.0108732
2024-07-25 1544 rmse standard 5.2828685
2024-07-25 1544 rsq standard 0.1102251
2024-07-25 1544 mae standard 4.1872200
2024-07-26 3860 rmse standard 5.0011847
2024-07-26 3860 rsq standard 0.1688875
2024-07-26 3860 mae standard 3.9154376
2024-07-28 3088 rmse standard 4.6756835
2024-07-28 3088 rsq standard 0.2575262
2024-07-28 3088 mae standard 3.7505404
2024-07-29 1544 rmse standard 4.8996318
2024-07-29 1544 rsq standard 0.1971557
2024-07-29 1544 mae standard 3.8392210
2024-07-30 3860 rmse standard 4.6614270
2024-07-30 3860 rsq standard 0.3730314
2024-07-30 3860 mae standard 3.6860765
2024-07-31 9264 rmse standard 4.7139694
2024-07-31 9264 rsq standard 0.3099738
2024-07-31 9264 mae standard 3.7108061
2024-08-01 9264 rmse standard 4.7153148
2024-08-01 9264 rsq standard 0.3072619
2024-08-01 9264 mae standard 3.7520646
2024-08-02 9264 rmse standard 4.7335212
2024-08-02 9264 rsq standard 0.2890219
2024-08-02 9264 mae standard 3.6961671
2024-08-03 9264 rmse standard 4.6433766
2024-08-03 9264 rsq standard 0.2460360
2024-08-03 9264 mae standard 3.7115386
2024-08-04 9264 rmse standard 4.6670010
2024-08-04 9264 rsq standard 0.2276746
2024-08-04 9264 mae standard 3.6853152
2024-08-05 9264 rmse standard 4.5954209
2024-08-05 9264 rsq standard 0.3089439
2024-08-05 9264 mae standard 3.6375488
2024-08-06 9264 rmse standard 4.7236069
2024-08-06 9264 rsq standard 0.3135468
2024-08-06 9264 mae standard 3.7830769
2024-08-07 9264 rmse standard 4.9261860
2024-08-07 9264 rsq standard 0.2727777
2024-08-07 9264 mae standard 3.9209744
2024-08-08 6176 rmse standard 4.9877569
2024-08-08 6176 rsq standard 0.1839446
2024-08-08 6176 mae standard 3.9449841
2024-08-13 1544 rmse standard 5.0753361
2024-08-13 1544 rsq standard 0.1312635
2024-08-13 1544 mae standard 3.9306155
2024-08-16 3084 rmse standard 4.7787346
2024-08-16 3084 rsq standard 0.2719961
2024-08-16 3084 mae standard 3.7579477
2024-08-17 8481 rmse standard 4.7700993
2024-08-17 8481 rsq standard 0.2284461
2024-08-17 8481 mae standard 3.8129027
2024-08-20 2313 rmse standard 4.7795559
2024-08-20 2313 rsq standard 0.3066903
2024-08-20 2313 mae standard 3.7363747
2024-08-21 9252 rmse standard 4.8225717
2024-08-21 9252 rsq standard 0.2367140
2024-08-21 9252 mae standard 3.8085839
2024-08-22 8481 rmse standard 4.8864465
2024-08-22 8481 rsq standard 0.2098893
2024-08-22 8481 mae standard 3.8469609
2024-08-23 9252 rmse standard 4.8635735
2024-08-23 9252 rsq standard 0.2139346
2024-08-23 9252 mae standard 3.7931057
2024-08-24 9252 rmse standard 4.7162882
2024-08-24 9252 rsq standard 0.2017786
2024-08-24 9252 mae standard 3.7080304
2024-08-25 9252 rmse standard 4.8778041
2024-08-25 9252 rsq standard 0.1822787
2024-08-25 9252 mae standard 3.8303316
2024-08-26 8481 rmse standard 4.9202098
2024-08-26 8481 rsq standard 0.1872772
2024-08-26 8481 mae standard 3.8201856
2024-08-27 9252 rmse standard 5.0944686
2024-08-27 9252 rsq standard 0.1888487
2024-08-27 9252 mae standard 3.9375379
2024-08-28 9252 rmse standard 5.0299672
2024-08-28 9252 rsq standard 0.2014419
2024-08-28 9252 mae standard 3.9638167
2024-08-29 9252 rmse standard 5.0061272
2024-08-29 9252 rsq standard 0.2089256
2024-08-29 9252 mae standard 3.9069998
2024-08-30 9252 rmse standard 4.7642499
2024-08-30 9252 rsq standard 0.2293768
2024-08-30 9252 mae standard 3.7176049
2024-08-31 9252 rmse standard 4.9454266
2024-08-31 9252 rsq standard 0.1444070
2024-08-31 9252 mae standard 3.8989849
2024-09-01 9252 rmse standard 4.9306825
2024-09-01 9252 rsq standard 0.1505813
2024-09-01 9252 mae standard 3.9105202
2024-09-02 9252 rmse standard 5.0063546
2024-09-02 9252 rsq standard 0.1329994
2024-09-02 9252 mae standard 3.9426593
2024-09-03 9252 rmse standard 4.9251781
2024-09-03 9252 rsq standard 0.2148953
2024-09-03 9252 mae standard 3.8366738
2024-09-04 9252 rmse standard 5.0652890
2024-09-04 9252 rsq standard 0.2218567
2024-09-04 9252 mae standard 4.0002709
2024-09-05 9252 rmse standard 5.0544162
2024-09-05 9252 rsq standard 0.2167442
2024-09-05 9252 mae standard 4.0077378
2024-09-06 9252 rmse standard 5.0631709
2024-09-06 9252 rsq standard 0.1872464
2024-09-06 9252 mae standard 3.9503979
2024-09-07 9252 rmse standard 4.8081060
2024-09-07 9252 rsq standard 0.1874762
2024-09-07 9252 mae standard 3.8272233
2024-09-08 5397 rmse standard 4.9522138
2024-09-08 5397 rsq standard 0.1795349
2024-09-08 5397 mae standard 3.8527209
2024-09-09 771 rmse standard 5.1897746
2024-09-09 771 rsq standard 0.3340189
2024-09-09 771 mae standard 4.1262924
2024-09-10 771 rmse standard 4.7321134
2024-09-10 771 rsq standard 0.4577667
2024-09-10 771 mae standard 3.7519669
2024-09-11 3084 rmse standard 5.0825399
2024-09-11 3084 rsq standard 0.3246584
2024-09-11 3084 mae standard 3.9708917
2024-09-12 8470 rmse standard 5.0975232
2024-09-12 8470 rsq standard 0.2275475
2024-09-12 8470 mae standard 4.0426754
2024-09-13 9216 rmse standard 5.0282360
2024-09-13 9216 rsq standard 0.2286141
2024-09-13 9216 mae standard 3.9957295
2024-09-14 8448 rmse standard 4.8528044
2024-09-14 8448 rsq standard 0.2420172
2024-09-14 8448 mae standard 3.8686373
2024-09-15 9216 rmse standard 4.7818193
2024-09-15 9216 rsq standard 0.2960912
2024-09-15 9216 mae standard 3.7593137
2024-09-16 9216 rmse standard 4.9253381
2024-09-16 9216 rsq standard 0.2879569
2024-09-16 9216 mae standard 3.8985498
2024-09-17 9213 rmse standard 4.8931545
2024-09-17 9213 rsq standard 0.3784229
2024-09-17 9213 mae standard 3.8783715
2024-09-18 8440 rmse standard 4.7793199
2024-09-18 8440 rsq standard 0.3318416
2024-09-18 8440 mae standard 3.7726729
2024-09-19 9216 rmse standard 5.1527761
2024-09-19 9216 rsq standard 0.2158614
2024-09-19 9216 mae standard 4.0346344
2024-09-20 9216 rmse standard 5.0429929
2024-09-20 9216 rsq standard 0.2201280
2024-09-20 9216 mae standard 3.9134495
2024-09-21 9216 rmse standard 4.8926505
2024-09-21 9216 rsq standard 0.2078083
2024-09-21 9216 mae standard 3.8759251
2024-09-24 1539 rmse standard 4.9327685
2024-09-24 1539 rsq standard 0.3032474
2024-09-24 1539 mae standard 3.9154031
2024-09-26 770 rmse standard 5.4951475
2024-09-26 770 rsq standard 0.0776873
2024-09-26 770 mae standard 4.3272342
2024-09-27 2313 rmse standard 5.8151027
2024-09-27 2313 rsq standard 0.0512621
2024-09-27 2313 mae standard 4.5192405
2024-09-28 772 rmse standard 5.5362847
2024-09-28 772 rsq standard 0.0412513
2024-09-28 772 mae standard 4.3678744
2024-09-29 772 rmse standard 4.9174175
2024-09-29 772 rsq standard 0.1330947
2024-09-29 772 mae standard 3.8706354
2024-09-30 1544 rmse standard 5.3355962
2024-09-30 1544 rsq standard 0.0710688
2024-09-30 1544 mae standard 4.0476277
2024-10-01 6176 rmse standard 5.2262732
2024-10-01 6176 rsq standard 0.1010262
2024-10-01 6176 mae standard 4.0327535
2024-10-03 774 rmse standard 4.6200236
2024-10-03 774 rsq standard 0.2703946
2024-10-03 774 mae standard 3.5865089
2024-10-04 1548 rmse standard 4.8089626
2024-10-04 1548 rsq standard 0.2544825
2024-10-04 1548 mae standard 3.6596916
2024-10-05 8514 rmse standard 4.9069287
2024-10-05 8514 rsq standard 0.2068412
2024-10-05 8514 mae standard 3.7966402
2024-10-06 9288 rmse standard 4.7427924
2024-10-06 9288 rsq standard 0.2368911
2024-10-06 9288 mae standard 3.6728227
2024-10-07 9288 rmse standard 4.5876202
2024-10-07 9288 rsq standard 0.3580527
2024-10-07 9288 mae standard 3.5652488
2024-10-08 3096 rmse standard 4.8732414
2024-10-08 3096 rsq standard 0.4309129
2024-10-08 3096 mae standard 3.8219596
2024-10-10 1549 rmse standard 4.6338069
2024-10-10 1549 rsq standard 0.5141273
2024-10-10 1549 mae standard 3.6268708
2024-10-22 777 rmse standard 4.6900479
2024-10-22 777 rsq standard 0.5329713
2024-10-22 777 mae standard 3.8254783
2024-11-19 779 rmse standard 4.7926597
2024-11-19 779 rsq standard 0.4570347
2024-11-19 779 mae standard 3.7666060
2024-11-20 779 rmse standard 4.9224623
2024-11-20 779 rsq standard 0.1983818
2024-11-20 779 mae standard 3.8994912
2024-11-21 780 rmse standard 4.8519756
2024-11-21 780 rsq standard 0.2330480
2024-11-21 780 mae standard 3.8349708
2024-11-22 780 rmse standard 4.7629716
2024-11-22 780 rsq standard 0.2880644
2024-11-22 780 mae standard 3.7860564
2024-11-23 780 rmse standard 4.6994548
2024-11-23 780 rsq standard 0.2679677
2024-11-23 780 mae standard 3.7026701
2024-11-24 780 rmse standard 4.8513886
2024-11-24 780 rsq standard 0.2604949
2024-11-24 780 mae standard 3.8740071
2024-11-25 1560 rmse standard 4.7249416
2024-11-25 1560 rsq standard 0.2151674
2024-11-25 1560 mae standard 3.6879097
2024-11-26 780 rmse standard 4.6951230
2024-11-26 780 rsq standard 0.1660321
2024-11-26 780 mae standard 3.7079092
2024-11-27 780 rmse standard 4.9370488
2024-11-27 780 rsq standard 0.1224931
2024-11-27 780 mae standard 3.8791174
2024-11-28 780 rmse standard 4.6373819
2024-11-28 780 rsq standard 0.1457934
2024-11-28 780 mae standard 3.6268264
2024-11-29 780 rmse standard 5.1623733
2024-11-29 780 rsq standard 0.0690530
2024-11-29 780 mae standard 4.0485466
2024-11-30 780 rmse standard 4.9667433
2024-11-30 780 rsq standard 0.0551905
2024-11-30 780 mae standard 3.8616078
2024-12-01 780 rmse standard 5.1373694
2024-12-01 780 rsq standard 0.0389265
2024-12-01 780 mae standard 4.0236240
2024-12-02 780 rmse standard 5.0133858
2024-12-02 780 rsq standard 0.0429243
2024-12-02 780 mae standard 3.7896192
2024-12-03 780 rmse standard 4.9249579
2024-12-03 780 rsq standard 0.0827071
2024-12-03 780 mae standard 3.8012815
2024-12-04 780 rmse standard 4.8299961
2024-12-04 780 rsq standard 0.1241578
2024-12-04 780 mae standard 3.7559281
2024-12-05 780 rmse standard 4.5241508
2024-12-05 780 rsq standard 0.1548764
2024-12-05 780 mae standard 3.5729830
2024-12-06 781 rmse standard 4.5609045
2024-12-06 781 rsq standard 0.1975245
2024-12-06 781 mae standard 3.5600896
2024-12-07 781 rmse standard 4.4387956
2024-12-07 781 rsq standard 0.2358233
2024-12-07 781 mae standard 3.5210572
2024-12-08 781 rmse standard 4.5936680
2024-12-08 781 rsq standard 0.2428059
2024-12-08 781 mae standard 3.6502050
2024-12-09 781 rmse standard 4.6129601
2024-12-09 781 rsq standard 0.2103805
2024-12-09 781 mae standard 3.6385530
2024-12-10 781 rmse standard 4.7813371
2024-12-10 781 rsq standard 0.1432273
2024-12-10 781 mae standard 3.7496646
2024-12-11 781 rmse standard 4.6633402
2024-12-11 781 rsq standard 0.1912910
2024-12-11 781 mae standard 3.6384119
2024-12-12 781 rmse standard 4.8179318
2024-12-12 781 rsq standard 0.1387109
2024-12-12 781 mae standard 3.7309993
2024-12-13 782 rmse standard 4.8467506
2024-12-13 782 rsq standard 0.2191385
2024-12-13 782 mae standard 3.7987261
2024-12-14 782 rmse standard 4.6319647
2024-12-14 782 rsq standard 0.2499922
2024-12-14 782 mae standard 3.6830053
2024-12-15 782 rmse standard 4.8006724
2024-12-15 782 rsq standard 0.2866336
2024-12-15 782 mae standard 3.7756292
2024-12-16 782 rmse standard 4.6023922
2024-12-16 782 rsq standard 0.2475634
2024-12-16 782 mae standard 3.6761606
2024-12-17 782 rmse standard 4.6169741
2024-12-17 782 rsq standard 0.2247195
2024-12-17 782 mae standard 3.6744317
2024-12-18 783 rmse standard 4.5877743
2024-12-18 783 rsq standard 0.2410770
2024-12-18 783 mae standard 3.6420461
2024-12-19 783 rmse standard 4.5633470
2024-12-19 783 rsq standard 0.1823786
2024-12-19 783 mae standard 3.5488166
2024-12-20 783 rmse standard 4.5281106
2024-12-20 783 rsq standard 0.2870006
2024-12-20 783 mae standard 3.5985595
2024-12-21 783 rmse standard 4.7262161
2024-12-21 783 rsq standard 0.2320176
2024-12-21 783 mae standard 3.7533685
2024-12-22 783 rmse standard 4.8158370
2024-12-22 783 rsq standard 0.1782394
2024-12-22 783 mae standard 3.8308426
2024-12-23 783 rmse standard 4.7081793
2024-12-23 783 rsq standard 0.1684020
2024-12-23 783 mae standard 3.7990698
2024-12-24 783 rmse standard 4.7583667
2024-12-24 783 rsq standard 0.1711578
2024-12-24 783 mae standard 3.6573350
2024-12-25 783 rmse standard 4.7662999
2024-12-25 783 rsq standard 0.0953531
2024-12-25 783 mae standard 3.7145214
2024-12-26 783 rmse standard 4.6491067
2024-12-26 783 rsq standard 0.0963329
2024-12-26 783 mae standard 3.6874124
2024-12-27 783 rmse standard 4.8403289
2024-12-27 783 rsq standard 0.1052554
2024-12-27 783 mae standard 3.8338353
2024-12-28 783 rmse standard 4.5309005
2024-12-28 783 rsq standard 0.1331159
2024-12-28 783 mae standard 3.5469362
2024-12-29 783 rmse standard 4.9044576
2024-12-29 783 rsq standard 0.0528175
2024-12-29 783 mae standard 3.7715987
2024-12-30 783 rmse standard 4.9326983
2024-12-30 783 rsq standard 0.0671442
2024-12-30 783 mae standard 3.8098640
2024-12-31 783 rmse standard 4.7943875
2024-12-31 783 rsq standard 0.0938496
2024-12-31 783 mae standard 3.7571608
2025-01-01 783 rmse standard 4.6064589
2025-01-01 783 rsq standard 0.1241321
2025-01-01 783 mae standard 3.6633971
2025-01-02 783 rmse standard 4.5925413
2025-01-02 783 rsq standard 0.1692653
2025-01-02 783 mae standard 3.6783668
2025-01-03 783 rmse standard 4.7790444
2025-01-03 783 rsq standard 0.1761071
2025-01-03 783 mae standard 3.7850108
2025-01-04 783 rmse standard 4.5283735
2025-01-04 783 rsq standard 0.1615475
2025-01-04 783 mae standard 3.6354790
2025-01-05 783 rmse standard 4.4691123
2025-01-05 783 rsq standard 0.1443785
2025-01-05 783 mae standard 3.5326829
2025-01-06 783 rmse standard 4.5522542
2025-01-06 783 rsq standard 0.1385957
2025-01-06 783 mae standard 3.5847135
2025-01-07 782 rmse standard 4.6692019
2025-01-07 782 rsq standard 0.1198350
2025-01-07 782 mae standard 3.6553304
2025-01-08 782 rmse standard 4.5084493
2025-01-08 782 rsq standard 0.1462843
2025-01-08 782 mae standard 3.6230304
2025-01-09 782 rmse standard 4.6441193
2025-01-09 782 rsq standard 0.1336633
2025-01-09 782 mae standard 3.7378405
2025-01-10 782 rmse standard 4.8859273
2025-01-10 782 rsq standard 0.1094576
2025-01-10 782 mae standard 3.8780661
2025-01-11 783 rmse standard 4.8244915
2025-01-11 783 rsq standard 0.1203820
2025-01-11 783 mae standard 3.8075382
2025-01-12 783 rmse standard 4.8882933
2025-01-12 783 rsq standard 0.0659808
2025-01-12 783 mae standard 3.7983873
2025-01-13 783 rmse standard 4.5076902
2025-01-13 783 rsq standard 0.0876772
2025-01-13 783 mae standard 3.6158903
2025-01-14 782 rmse standard 4.7549085
2025-01-14 782 rsq standard 0.0684302
2025-01-14 782 mae standard 3.6754855
2025-01-15 782 rmse standard 4.8035285
2025-01-15 782 rsq standard 0.0889356
2025-01-15 782 mae standard 3.8105501
2025-01-16 781 rmse standard 5.2652265
2025-01-16 781 rsq standard 0.0745417
2025-01-16 781 mae standard 4.0708248
2025-01-17 765 rmse standard 5.1256624
2025-01-17 765 rsq standard 0.1296606
2025-01-17 765 mae standard 3.9684766
2025-01-18 765 rmse standard 4.7272518
2025-01-18 765 rsq standard 0.1573301
2025-01-18 765 mae standard 3.7859630
2025-01-19 761 rmse standard 4.9454051
2025-01-19 761 rsq standard 0.1424875
2025-01-19 761 mae standard 3.8239915
2025-01-20 758 rmse standard 4.7513010
2025-01-20 758 rsq standard 0.0914853
2025-01-20 758 mae standard 3.7594131
2025-01-21 757 rmse standard 4.6270614
2025-01-21 757 rsq standard 0.0816518
2025-01-21 757 mae standard 3.6965927
2025-01-22 756 rmse standard 4.7530032
2025-01-22 756 rsq standard 0.0975842
2025-01-22 756 mae standard 3.7755593
2025-01-23 781 rmse standard 5.0162355
2025-01-23 781 rsq standard 0.0418114
2025-01-23 781 mae standard 3.9061846
2025-01-24 781 rmse standard 4.9868272
2025-01-24 781 rsq standard 0.0684402
2025-01-24 781 mae standard 3.8670799
2025-01-25 781 rmse standard 4.5936298
2025-01-25 781 rsq standard 0.1029713
2025-01-25 781 mae standard 3.6345918
2025-01-26 782 rmse standard 4.9310066
2025-01-26 782 rsq standard 0.0718715
2025-01-26 782 mae standard 3.8869770
2025-01-27 782 rmse standard 4.7443685
2025-01-27 782 rsq standard 0.0911082
2025-01-27 782 mae standard 3.6565615
2025-01-28 782 rmse standard 4.9295839
2025-01-28 782 rsq standard 0.0776000
2025-01-28 782 mae standard 3.8312260
2025-01-29 782 rmse standard 4.8718269
2025-01-29 782 rsq standard 0.1015870
2025-01-29 782 mae standard 3.8030804
2025-01-30 782 rmse standard 4.7945034
2025-01-30 782 rsq standard 0.1564971
2025-01-30 782 mae standard 3.7645051
2025-01-31 784 rmse standard 4.8296253
2025-01-31 784 rsq standard 0.2147979
2025-01-31 784 mae standard 3.8395726
2025-02-01 784 rmse standard 4.7330933
2025-02-01 784 rsq standard 0.2202727
2025-02-01 784 mae standard 3.7076810
2025-02-02 784 rmse standard 4.5701158
2025-02-02 784 rsq standard 0.2461041
2025-02-02 784 mae standard 3.6382771
2025-02-03 784 rmse standard 4.7508998
2025-02-03 784 rsq standard 0.1963095
2025-02-03 784 mae standard 3.8119680
2025-02-04 784 rmse standard 4.5809366
2025-02-04 784 rsq standard 0.2046654
2025-02-04 784 mae standard 3.6087322
2025-02-05 784 rmse standard 4.7465271
2025-02-05 784 rsq standard 0.2621230
2025-02-05 784 mae standard 3.7527640
2025-02-06 783 rmse standard 4.6118732
2025-02-06 783 rsq standard 0.2968649
2025-02-06 783 mae standard 3.7206174
2025-02-07 783 rmse standard 4.9224595
2025-02-07 783 rsq standard 0.1969101
2025-02-07 783 mae standard 3.8823545
2025-02-08 783 rmse standard 4.8764587
2025-02-08 783 rsq standard 0.2692985
2025-02-08 783 mae standard 3.9000804
2025-02-09 783 rmse standard 4.6384651
2025-02-09 783 rsq standard 0.2710786
2025-02-09 783 mae standard 3.7563617
2025-02-10 783 rmse standard 4.7277182
2025-02-10 783 rsq standard 0.1537507
2025-02-10 783 mae standard 3.7354741
2025-02-11 783 rmse standard 4.7152166
2025-02-11 783 rsq standard 0.1807830
2025-02-11 783 mae standard 3.7442009
2025-02-12 783 rmse standard 4.4270762
2025-02-12 783 rsq standard 0.1845960
2025-02-12 783 mae standard 3.5592140
2025-02-13 783 rmse standard 4.5598169
2025-02-13 783 rsq standard 0.1390389
2025-02-13 783 mae standard 3.7183730
2025-02-14 783 rmse standard 4.9544605
2025-02-14 783 rsq standard 0.1248211
2025-02-14 783 mae standard 3.9740959
2025-02-15 784 rmse standard 4.6995657
2025-02-15 784 rsq standard 0.1618430
2025-02-15 784 mae standard 3.7071860
2025-02-16 784 rmse standard 4.5976300
2025-02-16 784 rsq standard 0.1646934
2025-02-16 784 mae standard 3.6595980
2025-02-17 784 rmse standard 4.6246990
2025-02-17 784 rsq standard 0.1472276
2025-02-17 784 mae standard 3.6445834
2025-02-18 784 rmse standard 4.6225396
2025-02-18 784 rsq standard 0.1490324
2025-02-18 784 mae standard 3.6369118
2025-02-19 784 rmse standard 4.6759616
2025-02-19 784 rsq standard 0.1692296
2025-02-19 784 mae standard 3.7517881
2025-02-20 784 rmse standard 4.7497700
2025-02-20 784 rsq standard 0.1755117
2025-02-20 784 mae standard 3.7237864
2025-02-21 784 rmse standard 4.9858720
2025-02-21 784 rsq standard 0.1478199
2025-02-21 784 mae standard 3.8918683
2025-02-22 784 rmse standard 4.6310385
2025-02-22 784 rsq standard 0.1842283
2025-02-22 784 mae standard 3.6177529
2025-02-23 784 rmse standard 4.5604920
2025-02-23 784 rsq standard 0.2406489
2025-02-23 784 mae standard 3.6202954
2025-02-24 784 rmse standard 4.4924287
2025-02-24 784 rsq standard 0.2018292
2025-02-24 784 mae standard 3.5878866
2025-02-25 784 rmse standard 4.8067963
2025-02-25 784 rsq standard 0.1646611
2025-02-25 784 mae standard 3.7952463
2025-02-26 784 rmse standard 4.9124317
2025-02-26 784 rsq standard 0.1550732
2025-02-26 784 mae standard 3.9094278
2025-02-27 784 rmse standard 4.8859347
2025-02-27 784 rsq standard 0.1360018
2025-02-27 784 mae standard 3.7526631
2025-02-28 785 rmse standard 4.9072228
2025-02-28 785 rsq standard 0.1900527
2025-02-28 785 mae standard 3.8686806
2025-03-01 785 rmse standard 4.8616053
2025-03-01 785 rsq standard 0.2045039
2025-03-01 785 mae standard 3.8838798
2025-03-02 785 rmse standard 4.6042010
2025-03-02 785 rsq standard 0.2973621
2025-03-02 785 mae standard 3.6888857
2025-03-03 1570 rmse standard 4.8018931
2025-03-03 1570 rsq standard 0.3149555
2025-03-03 1570 mae standard 3.8480637
2025-03-04 785 rmse standard 4.6079997
2025-03-04 785 rsq standard 0.2380570
2025-03-04 785 mae standard 3.6405910
2025-03-05 786 rmse standard 4.7193097
2025-03-05 786 rsq standard 0.1767841
2025-03-05 786 mae standard 3.8079631
2025-03-06 786 rmse standard 4.5898316
2025-03-06 786 rsq standard 0.1822051
2025-03-06 786 mae standard 3.6645763
2025-03-07 787 rmse standard 4.5952758
2025-03-07 787 rsq standard 0.2558844
2025-03-07 787 mae standard 3.6830363
2025-03-08 787 rmse standard 4.7475412
2025-03-08 787 rsq standard 0.2390464
2025-03-08 787 mae standard 3.8218025
2025-03-09 1574 rmse standard 4.6296051
2025-03-09 1574 rsq standard 0.2435518
2025-03-09 1574 mae standard 3.7306108
2025-03-10 787 rmse standard 5.2971181
2025-03-10 787 rsq standard 0.0891811
2025-03-10 787 mae standard 4.1596194
2025-03-11 787 rmse standard 5.7957676
2025-03-11 787 rsq standard 0.0539608
2025-03-11 787 mae standard 4.5584181
2025-03-12 787 rmse standard 5.5452112
2025-03-12 787 rsq standard 0.0857949
2025-03-12 787 mae standard 4.3607244
2025-03-13 788 rmse standard 5.3630110
2025-03-13 788 rsq standard 0.1521028
2025-03-13 788 mae standard 4.2707227
2025-03-14 788 rmse standard 5.1881969
2025-03-14 788 rsq standard 0.1712587
2025-03-14 788 mae standard 4.1008057
2025-03-15 788 rmse standard 4.7612584
2025-03-15 788 rsq standard 0.2538426
2025-03-15 788 mae standard 3.8772584
2025-03-16 788 rmse standard 4.5623306
2025-03-16 788 rsq standard 0.2445408
2025-03-16 788 mae standard 3.7225843
2025-03-17 788 rmse standard 5.1565260
2025-03-17 788 rsq standard 0.1250937
2025-03-17 788 mae standard 4.1116691
2025-03-18 789 rmse standard 5.6458576
2025-03-18 789 rsq standard 0.0535188
2025-03-18 789 mae standard 4.5075017
2025-03-19 790 rmse standard 5.6893439
2025-03-19 790 rsq standard 0.0536584
2025-03-19 790 mae standard 4.4889762
2025-03-20 791 rmse standard 5.1122320
2025-03-20 791 rsq standard 0.1380136
2025-03-20 791 mae standard 4.1107037
2025-03-21 791 rmse standard 5.0269017
2025-03-21 791 rsq standard 0.2366967
2025-03-21 791 mae standard 3.9902507
2025-03-22 791 rmse standard 5.0066953
2025-03-22 791 rsq standard 0.2491466
2025-03-22 791 mae standard 3.9688889
2025-03-23 791 rmse standard 4.7231609
2025-03-23 791 rsq standard 0.2374193
2025-03-23 791 mae standard 3.7776296
2025-03-24 791 rmse standard 5.2223310
2025-03-24 791 rsq standard 0.1132512
2025-03-24 791 mae standard 4.0703236

A comparison of the model prediction vs. the ground truth for the model evaluation data.

Code
preds %>%
  ggplot(aes(n_bikes, .pred)) +
  geom_abline(slope = 1, lty = 2, color = "gray60", size = 1.2) +
  geom_jitter(alpha = 0.5, width = 0.4) +
  labs(
    title = "Model Performance by Prediction",
    subtitle = glue("Using the evaluation data from {test_start_date} to {test_end_date}"),
    x = "Acutal Number of Bikes",
    y = "Predicted Number of Bikes"
  )
Warning: Using `size` aesthetic for lines was deprecated in ggplot2 3.4.0.
ℹ Please use `linewidth` instead.

A visual assessment of model performance by location.

Code
preds %>%
  mutate(.resid = n_bikes - .pred) %>%
  ggplot(aes(lon, lat, color = .resid)) +
  geom_point(alpha = 0.8) +
  scale_color_gradient2() +
  coord_fixed() + 
  labs(
    title = "Model Performance by Location",
    subtitle = glue("Using the evaluation data from {test_start_date} to {test_end_date}"),
    x = "Longitude",
    y = "Latitude",
    color = "Residual"
  )

Ethical considerations

  • We considered the ethical impact the use of the model may have. We assessed that the overall risk due to an incorrect model prediction is relatively low.

Caveats & recommendations